Thursday, January 15, 2009

Bubble Watch - Jan 15th

ACC

This conference continues to look stronger as Clemson and Miami continue to pick up good wins. 5 are almost a certainty now that Miami appears to be playing at the level we expected from them earlier in the season. The downside to the top of the conference getting stronger? It hurts the middle of the conference. 7 will be very, very unlikely unless two teams emerge in conference play. 6 is no guarantee either depending on whether or not teams beat each other up.

In: UNC, Duke, Wake Forest, Clemson

Should be in: Miami (FL)

Miami (Fl): Good wins @ BC and Maryland mean the Canes would definitely be in at this point. I'll still hold off lock status due to lack of a marquee win, but that could easily change if they can take down UNC on the road on Saturday. All three losses are to good teams (UConn, Ohio State without McClinton for much of the game, Clemson) but their best wins are @ Kentucky and @ St. John’s so there’s not much backing in terms of OOC wins.

Bubble teams: BC, Maryland, Florida St., NC St., VT

Boston College: Well, that's certainly not a way to follow up the biggest wn of the season. Losses to Harvard and then Miami and Wake Forest at home puts the Eagles at 1-2 in the ACC. While the loss to Harvard is particularly painful, they missed out on some chances to get additional good wins at home, which could come back to haunt them. Win @ UNC is all this team has right now. Also have that semi-ugly loss @ St. Louis. Still, if they achieve a top 5 or top 6 finish in conference that might be enough.

Maryland: Took care of business at home vs. GT and almost stole one from Miami on the road but fell two points short. Given the state of mediocrity in the middle of the ACC, I would've probably bumped them up a notch had they gotten that win, but they remain on the bubble for now.Swept the Michigan schools. Only OOC losses are to Georgetown, which is looking much better, and Gonzaga, which is still reasonable. No real reason to keep them out at this point, but a good win against the top 4 of the ACC would really cement their status.

Florida St.: Won @ NC State but couldn't take one from Duke at home. Lots of sort-of-good wins (Cincinnati, Cal, Florida, Texas Tech) but no defining win. Loss @ Northwestern could really hurt come March. There’s plenty of opportunities in the ACC to pick up defining wins but conference wins will be difficult to come by.

North Carolina St.: Missed on both Clemson and Florida St. to fall to 0-2 in conference. All OOC losses are to likely tournament teams (@ Davidson, Marquette, Florida) but those were the only quality teams on their OOC schedule so the Wolfpack are left without a decent win to speak of. Bad conference losses could start piling up as well and at this point, they appear too low on the ACC pecking order to have much of a chance.

Virginia Tech: Beat Virginia and Richmond but neither are the types of wins VT needs at this point. @ St. John’s is the best win to speak of so far, but they missed out on every other OOC opportunity and must pick up a marquee win in conference to get in the dance.

Big Ten

The conference continues to beat up on each other. Michigan St. escaped Penn St. on Wednesday and remains in good shape, but after that there's no guarantees. We could have a lot of teams around .500 in Big Ten play and a few very difficult decisions to make.

In: Michigan St.

Nobody’s safe in this conference but I’ll stick with the conference leader. Wisconsin gets bumped down a notch due to the loss at Purdue (I'll explain later).

Should be in: Purdue, Wisconsin.

Purdue: Big win over Wisconsin puts them in much safer waters. I have a hard time believing the Boilers won't get back on track in Big Ten play and at least be competitive for the Big Ten title.

Wisconsin: I moved them out of lock status because they didn't pass the eye test for me. I think there's a small chance they fall back into the middle of the pack of the Big Ten so I had to move them down a level. That being said, they always seem to look average against us and yet they still take care of business in conference, so they should be safe for now.

Bubble teams: Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio State

Illinois: Win over Michigan at home not terribly impressive, but they're beginning to pull away from the middle of the conference and I'm running out of reasons to keep this team out of the tournament. Won @ Purdue for their best win so far, and other wins include Georgia and Kansas State (neutral). Performance in conference will separate these Big Ten bubble teams from each other, and the Illini appear to be doing just that.

Michigan: Took the home game over Iowa but lost the road game @ Illinois. If they end up around .500 in Big Ten play, they'll get in due to wins over Duke and UCLA (neutral), but are they really one of the 34 best at-large teams in the country? Maybe. They’re a good team but I have no reason to believe this team will consistently be better than the middle of the pack of the Big 10.

Minnesota: 3-1 conference record overshadowed by the fact that two of those wins were Iowa and Penn St. Still have that win over Louisville which is looking better and better. Win over Ohio St. also big in terms of respect. Could they survive finishing below .500 in conference with the weak OOC schedule? Probably not.

Ohio State: Beat IU for their only Big Ten game of the week. This is the most interesting case. They’re currently on the bottom of this list but remember they’re losing all these games without Lighty. They’ll have him back for the tournament and the list of wins with him (@ Miami, Notre Dame) is pretty impressive. If they can pick up some good conference wins when he comes back, they might convince the committee enough to squeak in with a subpar conference record.

Big 12

If the season ended today, I'd have to put 6 teams in given the Texas A&M win over Baylor on Wednesday. But will it stay that way? The Aggies aren't out of the deep water yet, and teams like Baylor and Missouri still have to be worried about conference collapses. Teams like Nebraska and Oklahoma St. are knocking on the door.

In: OU, Texas, Kansas

Should be in: Baylor

Baylor: Loss to Texas A&M not outrageous given it was on the road and they're likely a tournament team. They have a couple of gut-check games vs. Oklahoma St. and Kansas St. before the showdown in Norman. It's very important the Bears stay upset-free until the Oklahoma game.

Bubble teams: Missouri, Texas A&M, Oklahoma St., Nebraska, Kansas St.

Missouri: By resume alone, this team probably shouldn't be on the bubble. But I just get this odd feeling this team could collapse in conference play. Yes, wins over Cal and USC are big, but the more recent evidence suggests this team may fall apart against legit opponents (didn't look good at all vs. Illinois, and lost @ Nebraska). Still, the Tigers would be in if the season ended today. @ Oklahoma St. next Wednesday is huge for both teams.

Texas A&M: Big win over Baylor probably puts this team in for now. Loss to Tulsa actually looks better now after the Golden Hurricane gave Memphis all they could handle. Good win over Arizona as well, but wins over Alabama and Miss St. help but won’t clinch anything for the Aggies. This team could go either way depending on how conference play turns out, but the early signs are good for the Aggies.

Oklahoma St.: Time to take a second look at the Cowboys, who are on this list primarily for potential at this point. In the next two weeks they play @ Baylor and get Missouri and Oklahoma at home. If they can't pick up any of those, they're likely done, but one good win and this team could be squarely on the bubble. They'd likely have to jump Missouri or A&M in the conference standings to have a shot at making the dance but that could happen. Unfortunately, there's not much in the OOC portion, with their best win over Tulsa.

Nebraska: Any momentum built up by the Missouri win was instantly gone by the time they left Iowa State's gym. Ugly losses to Maryland-Baltimore County and Oregon State also hurt. Their inconsistency will likely be the Cornhuskers' downfall.

Kansas St.: Hanging on by a thread. Loss to Nebraska on Saturday would likely seal their fate. Good record masked by the fact that those three losses were to likely NIT teams (Kentucky, Oregon, Iowa). The Wildcats will likely be joining them there.

Big East

8 teams still looking good. 9 will almost certainly happen, provided Villanova starts kicking it up a notch. 10 is probably not happening, although Providence is starting to put together a somewhat compelling conference case.

In: Pitt, Syracuse, UConn, Georgetown, ND, Marquette, Louisville

Marquette's win over West Virginia is good enough to lock them up for now. Louisville's win over ND also good enough to put them back into lock status.

Should be in: West Virginia

West Virginia: Still looking for a good conference win, but if they stay afloat in Big East play they should be fine. Another breather @ South Florida on Saturday before a huge game @ Georgetown on Wednesday.

Bubble teams: Providence, Villanova, St. John’s, Cincinnati

Providence: They were leading Georgetown at halftime but couldn't keep it and lost by 7. It was a win they really could've used, but there are still chances left. Beating Marquette on Saturday is a much more reasonable task anyway. The OOC season wasn’t nice to the Friars, with a loss to Northeastern to begin the season and no marquee wins to speak of after missing on Baylor and St. Mary’s. Win over Rhode Island could be important for comparison purposes. The Big East season has started well and the Friars have beaten fellow bubble members St. John’s and Cincinnati, but it might not make up for the poor OOC schedule.

Villanova: Looking at the record and name, there’s no reason this team shouldn’t be a lock to get in. But look at the wins: Rhode Island, St. Joseph’s, Temple. They’d be in good shape if they played in the A-10. Right now Nova’s lacking that marquee win (missed out on a big chance by falling to Louisville), and after getting taken to OT by Seton Hall, there’s nothing to suggest this team will turn it on and make a serious conference run. Just like the previous few years, Villanova could be on the bubble until the conference tournament.

St. John’s: The Red Storm have hit a bit of a rough patch, but all these games are against good teams. They get UConn tonight on their home floor, and if they can find another big win that will really make things interesting. None of their losses are bad, but they lacked a good win until the ND game. Could they make a push to be the 10th team in from the Big East? Their weak OOC schedule could be their downfall if they don’t finish in the top half of the conference.

Cincinnati: Won over Rutgers but that won't win over any hearts. Loss to Providence put the Bearcats in dangerous territory. All their losses are reasonable, and I like this team overall, but it’s likely NIT for them. The win @ UNLV is a good win, but that’s about it, and there’s too many teams ahead of them in the Big East pecking order right now.

SEC

Well, so much for the SEC coming out party. I can't keep Tennessee in lock status after falling to Kentucky on their home floor, and Arkansas is currently 0-2 in conference. Not only that, but teams like Mississippi State that were previously banished to NIT land are starting out well in conference. The SEC is back to where it was at the beginning of the year... a whole bunch of mediocre teams. I have no idea what's going to happen here.

In: None

Should be in: Tennessee, Arkansas, Florida

Tennessee: This is probably more a "standard procedure" move down than anything else, but you can't lose to Kentucky on your home floor and be expected to stay a lock. The Vols will be fine given the mediocrity of their conference, but they better thank their lucky stars they're not playing in a different power conference where they'd be tested every night.

Arkansas: This is really not the way to follow up losses to Top 10 teams. The Razorbacks were swept by the Mississippi schools, and there's no free wins for an Arkansas team that is still very inexperienced and definitely not used to this success. They have some chances to right the ship before their Jan 31st game vs LSU, where the Tigers will be hungry for a win.

Florida: Sure, it was Ole Miss and Auburn, but conference wins are conference wins, right? They’ve beaten all the teams they were supposed to (except @ Florida St., but I’ll give them a pass against a good rival on the road), but no marquee wins to speak of. They’ll probably get in based on sheer number of wins.

Bubble teams: LSU, South Carolina, Kentucky, Mississippi State

LSU: Not a good loss @ Alabama but at least held serve at home vs. South Carolina. Tough team to judge due to the lack of tests they’ve had. I’d like to think this team will end up in a similar position to Florida, but they stay on the bubble due to their best win being Washington State.

South Carolina: Win at Auburn and loss @ LSU is par for the course. Win over Baylor still looking strong. Gaudy record masks bad loss to Charleston. They still need to perform well in conference but the bid is there for the taking. Huge game coming up against a strugging Tennessee team on Saturday.

Kentucky: They were under the 8-ball early, losing to VMI, but got the big win they needed after demolishing Tennessee on the back of Jodie Meeks and his 54 points. The Wildcats have had their fair share of criticism over the course of this season but the next four games are all very winnable, and if they can take care of business at home vs. South Carolina and Mississippi State they'll probably be undefeated in SEC play when Florida comes to town on Feb. 10th. Amazing what one win can do for the team.

Mississippi State: For some odd reason, I had a feeling we'd hear from this team again. Win @ Arkansas at least puts the Bulldogs in the conversation. The resume isn't there at this point, but with Tennessee playing the way they are right now, the SEC is WIDE open and really, anything's winnable at this point.

Pac-10

It's looking like a 3 team race at this point. Two teams were expected, but Cal has crashed the party and doesn't appear to be going away anytime soon. Other than that... Arizona and USC are staying afloat but the water is rising and both teams need to keep the pace. Stanford is falling back to the bottom after an undefeated OOC season. Washington is attempting to make a tournament push but needs some quality conference wins. What does all this add up to? Probably 5 bids from the Pac 10.

In: UCLA, Arizona St., Cal

Top two competitors for the Pac-10 title remain locks. Cal moves into lock position after starting 4-0 in conference.

Should be in: No one.

Outside of the top 3, nobody's really separated themselves enough to get off the bubble.

Bubble teams: USC, Arizona, Stanford, Washington

USC: Expectations can only carry you so far. At this point, the Trojans need to start showing it on the court, and they missed out on a big opportunity by losing to UCLA at home. Their best wins are Georgia Tech and @ Oregon, which means they have some work to do. Handing Oregon St. their first conference win in over a year doesn’t help their case.

Arizona: Swept the Oregon schools to get back to .500 in conference play. They have some very good OOC wins (Gonzaga, Kansas) and I'd imagine they'd steal one from UCLA, Arizona St., and Cal at some point, but their inconsistencies could end up dooming them in the end.

Stanford: The Cardinal are now 1-3 in the Pac-10 after being swept by the Washingtons. .500 in Pac-10 play isn't going to be good enough, and now it looks like they may not even get that close.

Washington: Won over Stanford to stay alive on the bubble. There's still plenty of work to be done but it's a start. Loss to Cal in OT really hurts, as that was a type of win that bubble teams need to pull out. Two road games at Oregon and Oregon State before USC and UCLA come to town.

Other conferences:

The mid-major scene looks like normal… a few standouts, and a lot of question marks. The difficulty with many of these teams is judging them when they haven’t played anyone (like Illinois St. and Utah State), so we have to go on conference strength and performance. Remember most of these teams will win their conference’s auto bid, so their at-large status becomes moot.

In: Xavier, Butler, BYU, Gonzaga

Should be in: St. Mary’s, Memphis, UNLV, Dayton, Davidson

St. Mary's: Bad loss to UTEP can be overlooked due to sheer number of wins and number of good wins (Providence, @ Oregon, @ Kansas St., @ SIU). As long as they take care of business in the WCC they should be fine.

Memphis: Barely escaped Tulsa to stay perfect in C-USA play. They don’t have any real great wins (best is home v. Cincinnati) but all the losses are reasonable and they should win the C-USA which will be enough to get in.

Dayton: Loss @ UMass not a big red flag, but the Flyers could've really used that win. Still in line for 2nd in the A-10 which will be good enough. Loss @ Creighton still not good though.

Bubble teams: UNLV, Rhode Island, Illinois State, Creighton, Utah, San Diego State, Utah State, Houston

UNLV: Uh oh time. Losses to TCU and Colorado State put the Rebels in serious danger. Win @ Louisville still looks great but the losses in conference play are particularly disturbing since these aren't teams UNLV can afford to lose to. All these problems could go away Tuesday @ BYU, but there's no guarantee they'll beat Wyoming on Saturday.

Rhode Island: Loss at St. Joe's is not good, as that's a comparable bubble team. It’s hard to believe only two teams could make it from the Atlantic 10, but it could happen. Losses to Duke and Villanova are nothing to be upset about, and losses @ Providence and and Oklahoma St. aren’t awful, but there is a lack of good wins. If the Rams finish 3rd in the conference and get a split against either Dayton or Xavier (or both), that should be enough for the committee to reluctantly let them in.

Illinois State: Loss to Indiana State not what the Redbirds needed. They'll probably need the MVC auto-bid to get in now.

Creighton: Their at-large status was already iffy heading into conference play. They're back on track in the Missouri Valley but it's not enough. They’ll likely need the MVC auto-bid.

Utah: The Utes have an extremely awful set of losses, including a loss to a Division 2 team. However, recent wins over Gonzaga and LSU have put them in at-large consideration. At this point, the resume is not good enough. But there are good wins to come by in the Mountain West, and this team is very capable of making a run and taking the regular season title.


San Diego State: Picked up the big win they needed over Utah and now have a very important game @ BYU next Saturday. If they can pull that off, I will be leading the charge to put this team in the tournament. Losses are all reasonable and relatively close, and a couple of wins over tournament teams is good enough for now.

Utah State: The WAC favorites fell to BYU on a neutral court but did beat fellow bubble member Utah. The OOC schedule probably isn’t strong enough for an at-large bid though.

Houston: I threw this team out early after losing to Georgia Southern but if teams like Utah and Kentucky can recover from bad early season losses then so can the Cougars. Currently 3-0 in C-USA and wins over UAB and UMass warrant some discussion. Memphis is beatable this year, and a split with them could draw some interest.

Monday, January 12, 2009

Games to Watch - Week of Jan. 12th

First things first... Wake Forest/UNC wasn't on TV at school, so I couldn't watch it. Honestly, I don't care if you're a Pacers fan or not, if you'd rather see a Golden State-Indiana NBA game than a game between 2 of the top 3 or 4 teams in the nation, well... you're crazy. But anyway, the fallout from that game is enormous. For the first time all year, I believe we have a legit reason to believe UNC is not the best team in the nation, and we have a legit reason to say Wake Forest IS the best team in the nation. Personally, I think this team's still too young to suggest they won't look awful in at least a few ACC games and lose, but who knows. Athletically they're capable of beating anyone in the nation, as shown on Sunday. Also, Pitt continues to roll, knocking off a decent St. John's team to stay undefeated. They'll be a difficult team to pick against come March because of their size and toughness at a variety of positions (and DeJuan Blair is an absolute beast). And my Boilers won a Big Ten game! All is right in the world. And on with the games...

Monday, Jan 12th

ND @ Louisville - And in this week's edition of top 25 Big East matchups, we have two of the most inconsistent teams in the conference. Louisville appears to be back on track after a couple of good conference wins, including a 1 point win over Villanova, but this is their first true conference test against an Irish team that can shoot you out of your own gym if you're not prepared. Luckily, ND has looked like a very average team on the road this year... I give the edge to the Cardinals.

Texas @ Oklahoma - Showdown of the two Big 12 and Final Four contenders. For Texas, Abrams has not been shooting well as of late, but Damion James and Gary Johnson have kept the Longhorns alive offensively in the meantime. Oklahoma's defense, especially on the perimeter, has been surprisingly good this year though, and Texas will likely need Abrams to get out of his scoring slump for the Longhorns to pull off a win on the road. Defensively, Texas will have to deal with Blake Griffin like everyone who plays the Sooners have to, but they also have to pay attention to freshman Willie Warren, who put up 35 in the Sooners' only loss of the season @ Arkansas and is a threat to score from a variety of spots on the floor. I have to stick with the home team here.

Tuesday, Jan 13th

Florida St. @ North Carolina St. - Important ACC game for both teams. Each started off with a loss in conference, and with teams like Maryland and BC already winning conference games and Miami seeming to get back on track, wins in the ACC are only going to become more difficult to come by.

Kansas St. @ Kansas - Neither of these teams are as good as last year's versions, but we all saw last year how much these teams hate each other. Should be a fun game to watch regardless of talent.

Kentucky @ Tennessee - The Wildcats NEED a good road win to stamp their resume with. This is the best opportunity they will get all year long, with the Vols recently coming off of a few losses. It's a very difficult task, but when you lose to VMI, you have to do something drastic to get yourself back into the discussion.

Wednesday, Jan 14th

Michigan St. @ Penn St. - Do not overlook the Nittany Lions. I repeat, do NOT overlook the Nittany Lions. I know from first hand experience. They've got 3 of the top 5 scorers in the Big Ten and are coming off of a big home win over Purdue. They are very capable of winning this game if the Spartans do not come prepared to play, and after watching the Spartans this year, there's no guarantees they will come to play.

Duke @ Georgia Tech - Same as above, but replace 3 with 1 (Gani Lawal). Actually, there really isn't a comparison. Duke better win big.

Syracuse @ Georgetown - Ho hum. Another top 10 matchup in the Big East. Seriously, these things happen like every 3 days. Syracuse is making a legit push to be a Final Four contender. This team's talented and balanced enough to do so. The biggest problem is a lack of size, but they rebound fine so it hasn't really hurt them. With Andy Rautins stepping up recently, this team's even more dangerous offensively. However, it's on the road, and this is probably the best halfcourt defense the Orange have seen all year long. I'm actually going to pick the road upset here. I really like this Orange team, and I think G-Town's depth is going to end up killing them in several Big East games this year.

Wake Forest @ Boston College - This is the ultimate trap game for the Demon Deacons. In fact, I bet so many people are calling this upset that I'm actually going to go against the grain and take Wake Forest.

Baylor @ Texas A&M - This is a time when the tournament outlook is supposed to get clearer. Not so in the Big 12. Both the Aggies and Missouri, who were supposed to be the at-large bids from the Big 12, lost their first Big 12 games, to Oklahoma St. and Nebraska, who were supposed to be on the outside looking in. That being said, this is a great chance for the Aggies to get back on track and get a very good conference win.

Maryland @ Miami (FL) - Important bubble game for both teams.

South Carolina @ LSU - This is one of those separation games in the SEC where we find out which teams are going to make legit tournament runs and which teams will settle for NIT bids. Both of these teams could use some good looking wins to bolster their resume with.

SIU @ Creighton - A little old-school Missouri Valley powerhouse matchup for ya.

Michigan @ Illinois - Seriously, the Big Ten's going to be a bloodbath this year. The conference champ could have 5 or 6 losses this year... it's that close. Any of the top 8 teams can beat any of the others... I fully believe that.

Thursday, Jan 15th

Purdue @ Northwestern - We better win. That's all I have to say about that.

UConn @ St. John's - Okay, the moment I started vouching for St. John's, they start to lose. I don't want this blog to become cursed. Come on, Red Storm. Get another good win for me.

Xavier @ Rhode Island - For the Rams, it's getting to the point where theyt absolutely NEED this win. Their best win so far is Penn St. at home... that's not going to cut it in the eyes of the committee. The brownie points gained from losing to Duke at Cameron by only 3 is only going to carry a team so far.

Minnesota @ Wisconsin - Another fun Big 10 matchup. A game where Wisconsin has to hold serve at home if they wish to make a serious Big Ten title run.

Santa Clara @ Gonzaga - The annual Gonzaga domination of the West Coast Conference begins.

Washington @ Oregon - It's thursday, which means Pac-10 night hoops. A good bubble matchup and a game both teams likely need to win to stay on the bubble. That means actually have a chance at making the tournament.

Arizona St. @ USC - Cal's made an early push, and you know UCLA will be there at the end. Both teams need to pick up a win to keep pace at the top of the Pac-10. In USC's case, they may be playing for their tournament lives soon if they can't get this one at home.

Arizona @ UCLA - Not saying Arizona's not in the tournament, but this, combined with the win over Gonzaga, would put to rest a lot of that talk. For a while anyway.

Friday, Jan 16th

A bunch of small conference games. Go party or something.

Saturday, Jan 17th

College b-ball day of reckoning. Check out this slate of games:

ND @ Syracuse - With all this talk about Blake Griffin and Stephen Curry for Player of the Year, Luke Harangody has quietly put up 24.5 points and 12.7 boards a game for the Irish. As for the team, this is the second of two critical road games in the Big East which could determine whether this team is going to compete for the Big East title this year or fall back into the middle of the pack.

Georgetown @ Duke - One of those games that won't have an impact on conference standing or tournament status (although it will affect seeding) but will still be a great game to watch. Duke has kind of become a top 2 team by default, but they haven't really beaten anyone since the pounding of Purdue at Mackey. I'm not sold on them being a Final Four contender this year, and if someone can expose their weakness in the post, it's Greg Monroe and the Hoyas. Speaking of Monroe, this guy's already a stud. I think he needs another year in college but if he comes back, he could be one of the frontrunners for player of the year next season.

Oklahoma @ Texas A&M - In case the Aggies don't get the first one vs. Baylor.

Wake Forest @ Clemson - Time to learn if the Tigers are for real. We know they're a good team. Can they reach that elite level? This is the perfect time to do so. Meanwhile, talk about a difficult week for the Demon Deacons to follow up their win over UNC... two very challenging road games against two teams they should beat but could easily lose to. On a side note, who would've honestly predicted this would be a matchup of top 10 teams way back in November when the season started?

Arizona St. @ UCLA - Unless Cal decides to spoil the party, this game and the one in mid-February could determine the Pac-10 champ.

Illinois @ Michigan St. - Gutcheck time for the Spartans. In a conference like the Big Ten, holding serve at home is a must, and this certainly isn't an easy game for the Spartans. Two games this week Michigan St. should and must win if they want to take the Big Ten title.

Texas @ Texas Tech - Good rivalry game and a game Pat Knight's squad needs to have if they want to make a tournament case.

Pitt @ Louisville - You could look at this in one of two ways if you're a Louisville fan. On the one hand, you're playing a couple of top ten teams in a week. On the other hand, you get to face two teams that are ahead of you in conference on your home floor. If you want to make an early, resounding push for the Big East title, this is the perfect opportunity to do so. Also, they have the athletes to compete with Pitt and win that game.

Cal @ Stanford - Battle of the Pac-10 overachievers. And it's a rivalry game. This should be good.

Ohio St. @ Michigan - Not quite the same on the basketball court, but at least both teams are good this year.

Marquette @ Providence - These are the kinds of games Marquette needs to win if they want to be taken seriously in the Big East.

Miami (FL) @ UNC - Doesn't really get much easier for the Tar Heels, does it?

And this isn't even factoring in important conference games between unranked teams that could all have bubble implications in March... Maryland-Florida St., Arkansas-Florida, Boston College-Virginia Tech, Temple-UMass, Kansas St.-Nebraska, South Carolina-Tennessee, Arizona-USC, UAB-Memphis, Wyoming-UNLV, etc... I love college basketball.

Sunday, January 18th

St. John's @ Villanova - Both teams REALLY need this game. I'm just going to leave it at that.

Iowa @ Purdue - We better win this game too.

Seton Hall @ UConn - Maybe after this game the Pirates will actually get a winnable conference game. And by winnable I'm talking about home vs. Providence which is still a toss-up. Sorry, Seton Hall. That's what you get when you play in the Big East.

Seattle @ PR Bayamon - The Seattle Redhawks are an independent D-I team. You know, most times Div. 1 independents take on schools from a particular conference in order to try and get invited into that conference. Check out who Seattle plays this week (I'm not making this up)

Tuesday: home vs. Linfield College
Saturday: @ Puerto Rico-Rio Piedras
Sunday: @ PR Bayamon

I don't know where those schools are, but you're flying from Seattle to Puerto Rico to play a game? Why? Just play the local YMCA if you want to do that. Guess that's why they're an independent.